ONLY CHANCE OF ROMNEY: IF SURVEYS ARE WRONG
ONLY CHANCE OF ROMNEY:
IF SURVEYS ARE WRONG
By BERTENI "TOTO" CATALUÑA CAUSING
At present (Nov. 2 in US), when only five days separate the day of truth, the only chance of Romney is to change the numbers turned in by surveyors.
At present, Barrack Obama is almost assured of 285 electoral votes (EVs) when only 270 EVs are needed to win. See the Nov. 2, 2012 Electoral Map at the right.
Only two states are remaining to be seen: OHIO (18 EVs) and NORTH CAROLINA (15 EVs).
In Ohio, Obama is ahead in the average of all surveys at 49% vs Romney's 47.2%.
In North Carolina, Romney is ahead in the average at 48% vs Obama's 46..5%.
BESIDES, it is hard to argue or justify that surveys are not reliable. The write take the arguments of New York Times political analyst Nate Silver, who even offered a bet for Obama to anybody. (Your can read Nate's Nov. 1, 2012 article "The Simple Case for Saying Obama Is the Favorite," that concluded that the claimed momentum of Mitt Romney is a myth, at this site: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/02/nov-1-the-simple-case-for-saying-obama-is-the-favorite/?nl=us&emc=edit_cn_20121102 .)
However, all the grandeur of statements by Romney camp that they are winning are all for posturing hoping to capture the confidence of the few remaining undecided voters in Ohio and North Carolina and hoping to turn the tide in either Michigan (16 EVs) or Pennsylvania (20 EVs).